PREDICTED PARAMETERS OF EARTHQUAKES
|
Latitude |
Longitude |
Depth |
Ms |
Date of preliminary announcement |
Date of final publishing |
Real event |
|
40° N |
75° - 76° E |
50 km |
7.4 |
11 Oct 2000 |
18 Dec 2000 |
|
|
43.5° N |
79° - 80° E |
20 km |
7.0 |
29 Dec 2000 |
- |
1 Dec 2003 |
Preceding phenomena: silence , second kind gap , ...
December 1,
2003.Narynkol
earthquake was occurred. Latitude is 43° N Longitude is 80.6° E
Real magnitude Ms =6.0
Depth = 20.
February 14,
2005.Karakol
earthquake was occurred. Latitude is 41.73° N Longitude is 79.34° E
Real magnitude Ms =6.1
Occured on the southern border of Gap N 2 (see second kind gaps map).
These events was predicted by
Karim Khaidarov in December 2000.
Second kind gap (see the
map) indiced a magnitude and place of future event.
Duration of preparation of
event of the same magnitude is 6… 12 years.
Springy deformation accumulated in this area can be a reason of one else greater earthquake